TOTAL VOLUME:

$114b

24H VOL:

$131,744,122

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,307,273,240

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,144,026,271

320,447

Markets across

31,210

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,922

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

92%chance
Amount

$

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Description

This event group tracks the location of the next in-person meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin before the end of 2026. Markets resolve based on where such a meeting occurs, or if no meeting takes place.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless use identical definitions for a qualifying meeting, identical timeframes (by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), and identical resolution methodology based on consensus from credible reporting.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • A meeting requires both leaders to be physically present and interact in person
  • Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control (e.g., Crimea) is considered part of Russia
  • Resolution occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
  • If no meeting occurs by the deadline, all location markets resolve as 'No meeting before 2027'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Crimea or other occupied Ukrainian territories: Counts as Russia per explicit market rules
  • Virtual meetings: Do not count — only in-person interactions qualify
Timing: Resolution occurs by January 2, 2027, following verification of events occurring up to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through continuous price adjustments, while polling averages aggregate public opinion snapshots. The two can diverge due to differing participant bases and incentives. Prediction markets may price in information faster, incorporating news and events in real time, whereas polls suffer from sampling errors and lagging data. For the Zelenskyy-Putin meeting market, current odds suggest a low probability of a meeting occurring, potentially diverging from broader public expectations captured in surveys.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Any face-to-face meeting between the two leaders, documented through official statements, press coverage, or authenticated visual evidence, will settle the market. If no such encounter occurs throughout the period, the market resolves accordingly based on the absence of verified occurrences.

Key signals that could shift this market include major diplomatic announcements, security council resolutions, high-profile summits, or unexpected de-escalation gestures. Escalations such as sanctions, military movements, or third-party mediation efforts may also influence pricing. Traders will watch for any indirect communications—press conferences, social media hints, or backchannel negotiations—as these can preview or preempt an official meeting, rapidly adjusting market probabilities ahead of Jan 1, 2027.