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When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7?
kalshi

When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7?

Volume:
$49,809

Before Sep 25, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Sep 25, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 6:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Sep 25, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,269
N/A
N/A
$1,741
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 16, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
$1,150
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 2, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$982
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 9, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
$980
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 4, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,023
N/A
N/A
$5,474
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Aug 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,453
N/A
N/A
$8,344
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Aug 28, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,545
N/A
N/A
$5,900
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Sep 18, 2026

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,550
N/A
N/A
$3,977
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Aug 21, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,080
N/A
N/A
$1,673
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Aug 14, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$854
N/A
N/A
$503
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Sep 11, 2026

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$720
N/A
N/A
$570
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Before Sep 8, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$203
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks the timeline for SpaceXAI to publicly launch its Grok 4.7 AI model. The release must be available to the general public, not confined to a closed beta, though it can be offered through a premium subscription service. The focus is on when the company will make the new version broadly accessible.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential release dates for SpaceXAI's Grok 4.7 AI model throughout late 2026, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the model becomes publicly available before any of the specified deadlines — August 14, August 21, August 28, August 31, or September 4, 2026. A valid release requires the model to be made broadly accessible to the public, meaning it cannot remain exclusive to a closed beta program. However, offering Grok 4.7 through a high-cost subscription tier is permitted, as long as the model is not restricted to a limited test group. The outcome hinges on the earliest date by which SpaceXAI fulfills these public availability conditions, with each rule providing an increasingly later cutoff date for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Grok 4.7 release market, along with a real-time view of 24-hour volume of $4,275. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around when SpaceXAI might unveil the next version of Grok. The page updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment and provides a snapshot of total volume at $49,809. This focused view helps users monitor dynamics specific to this single venue without any cross-platform aggregation.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through active buying and selling of contracts that expire around Jan 1, 2027. The current probability reflects the collective assessment of when SpaceXAI is likely to release Grok 4.7 based on available information, news, and analyst updates. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $4,275 over the last 24 hours and a total volume of $49,809, influence how efficiently prices adjust to new data. This mechanism allows participants to bet on their timeline predictions in a transparent, competitive environment.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact settlement will reflect the date SpaceXAI officially announces general availability of the next major model version. No internal metrics or private data are used—only widely reported, public confirmation points determine the result.

Key signals include official announcements from SpaceXAI leadership, major AI industry conferences where roadmaps are discussed, and leaked development timelines from trusted industry sources. Significant shifts in trading volume or price often follow these events. Additionally, broader tech-sector momentum—such as funding news for competing AI projects—can influence sentiment around this market as traders reassess relative timelines.