TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Google has been rapidly iterating on its Gemini AI model family. This event tracks whether Google will publicly release a model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or a more advanced version by various dates throughout mid-2026.
The market resolves to Yes if Google releases a model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before any of the specified dates (June 30, July 3, July 10, July 17, July 24, or July 31, 2026). The release must be available to the general public and cannot be limited to a closed beta program, though restricting access to a premium or high-cost subscription tier is permissible. Once a qualifying release occurs on or before any of these dates, the market resolves affirmatively regardless of subsequent dates.