TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Verizon currently scheduled to take place on October 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Verizon currently scheduled to take place on October 26, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion regarding what Verizon will discuss on their earnings call. Often, this market reflects a broader range of possibilities than traditional analyst reports, which may focus on a narrower set of expectations. While analysts provide specific financial projections, this market captures sentiment around qualitative aspects of the call, like mentions of new technologies or strategic shifts. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market anticipates surprises or underestimates key themes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific topic will be mentioned during the Verizon earnings call. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a topic will be discussed, the higher the share price will climb. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of expectations surrounding the call.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript of the Verizon earnings call to determine whether the topics listed in the market were explicitly mentioned. The outcome is determined by whether or not the specified topics are addressed during the call, as documented in the official record. Traders will then be paid out based on the final probabilities reflected in the market prices at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-earnings announcements from Verizon regarding specific initiatives or challenges could shift expectations. Analyst reports offering strong opinions on potential call topics might also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to the telecommunications industry, such as regulatory changes or competitor announcements, could also impact sentiment. Finally, any leaks or rumors about the content of the earnings call could cause substantial price fluctuations in this market.