TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:03 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news events, public statements, and any other information that might affect perceptions of what Donald Trump will say.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a comprehensive review of all public statements made by Donald Trump between October 26th and November 1st. Any statement made through official channels – including rallies, interviews, and social media – will be considered. The outcome will be determined by whether or not the specified statement was demonstrably made during the defined timeframe.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major news events related to Donald Trump, such as legal developments or significant political endorsements, could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected public appearances or announcements could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polling data, might influence trading activity. Finally, even seemingly minor statements or social media posts from Donald Trump himself could trigger price fluctuations in this market.
