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What will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?
kalshi

What will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?

Volume:
$1,425,306

Save America Act

 - Kalshi

Save America Act - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Save America Act

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$189,342
N/A
N/A
$118,145
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Steel

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,232
N/A
N/A
$37,159
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

ICE

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,186
N/A
N/A
$22,765
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Fraud (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,497
N/A
N/A
$20,590
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Iran (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,761
N/A
N/A
$21,475
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Tariff (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,765
N/A
N/A
$19,537
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,784
N/A
N/A
$10,871
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,255
N/A
N/A
$11,466
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,144
N/A
N/A
$11,715
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Made in America / American Made

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,315
N/A
N/A
$11,465
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

America First

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,656
N/A
N/A
$9,273
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Canada / Canadian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,018
N/A
N/A
$7,389
1w 3d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247,342
N/A
N/A
$222,951
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Deport / Deported / Deportation

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,125
N/A
N/A
$67,448
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,532
N/A
N/A
$47,760
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,217
N/A
N/A
$39,988
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Peace in the Middle East

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,098
N/A
N/A
$52,907
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Trump Account

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,064
N/A
N/A
$27,589
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Veteran

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,517
N/A
N/A
$26,542
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,135
N/A
N/A
$31,137
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Kamala

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,545
N/A
N/A
$22,659
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Russia / Ukraine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,425
N/A
N/A
$20,627
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Gulf of America

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,356
N/A
N/A
$17,920
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Elon / Musk

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,323
N/A
N/A
$23,410
1w 3d 15h
No
kalshi

Electricity

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,116
N/A
N/A
$18,779
1w 3d 15h
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market asks whether Donald Trump will say “Fentanyl” during his midterm rally in Daytona Beach, Florida originally scheduled for October 30, 2026. Currently, the “Yes” outcome—that he *will* mention fentanyl—is trading at 100.0% on Kalshi, while the “No” outcome is also at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by whether Trump utters the specified phrase during the rally, as verified by live broadcasts or official transcripts according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on whether the rally proceeds as scheduled, as the market is set to resolve on November 13, 2026, following the event window.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether Donald Trump utters specified exact phrases during his Daytona Beach rally on October 30, 2026, with plural/possessive forms and alternative versions (like slashes) counting. Verification uses live video or official transcripts. If the rally is canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, nullifying others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Markets requiring multiple mentions (e.g., 3+ times) resolve only if the threshold is met. All outcomes depend solely on Trump’s official statements during the event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Daytona Beach rally tracks the current odds of various statements being made, the total volume traded, and a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $1,116,871, and the total volume traded to date is $1,425,306. This allows traders to see which potential statements are considered most and least likely by the crowd, and how sentiment is changing as the event approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s expectations for what will be said at the rally.

Currently, it's important to note that this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, and may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. Polls and expert opinions often provide a static snapshot of expectations, while this market continuously updates based on new information and changing sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies or the incorporation of unique insights from market participants. Comparing the probabilities offered by this market to those suggested by political analysts can reveal areas of agreement or disagreement regarding the potential content of the Trump Daytona Beach rally.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each statement being made. The price of a contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a statement *will* be made, the higher the contract price. Conversely, if traders believe a statement is unlikely, the price will be lower. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A comprehensive review of transcripts and video recordings of the Trump Daytona Beach rally will be conducted to determine whether each statement was actually uttered. The resolution will be based on a clear and unambiguous delivery of the statement, as documented in publicly available sources. The market will settle based on whether the statements outlined in the market were made during the rally, as verified against credible public sources.