TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Tim Cook is scheduled to participate in an event, "Apple WWDC 2026" on June 8, 2026, 1 PM ET (see: https://developer.apple.com/wwdc26/schedule/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips or prerecorded videos are aired where Tim Cook is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not released by June 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and media speculation about Apple's WWDC agenda. While analysts may rely on supply-chain rumors, patent filings, and industry trends to predict Cook's focus areas, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing Polymarket odds to published analyst reports and tech media predictions can reveal where the market consensus aligns with or diverges from expert opinion on what Cook will prioritize in his 2026 keynote.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a set of mutually exclusive outcomes representing different statements or announcements Cook could make at WWDC 2026. Each outcome has an implied probability derived from its trading price, with the leading outcome currently reflecting market consensus. Traders buy and sell shares in outcomes they believe will occur, and prices adjust in real time based on new information, leaked details about Apple's product roadmap, or shifts in market sentiment about which topics Cook will emphasize during his keynote address.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, following Tim Cook's keynote address at Apple WWDC 2026. Resolution is determined by what Cook actually says during his presentation, as verified against official Apple recordings, transcripts, and credible media coverage of the event. The specific outcome that matches Cook's statements or primary focus areas will be confirmed, and all winning shares will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor the official WWDC livestream and Apple's official communications to understand how the market will settle.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the June 8th keynote. Leaked product announcements, regulatory developments affecting Apple, competitive moves by rivals, and supply-chain news could all influence market expectations about Cook's messaging priorities. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, Apple earnings calls, and executive commentary on emerging technologies like artificial intelligence or privacy features may also move prices. Additionally, any official Apple previews, developer community discussions, or industry conferences leading up to WWDC could provide clues about what Cook plans to emphasize, causing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.