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What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
kalshi

What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?

Volume:
$89,951

Leavitt

 - Kalshi

Leavitt - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 10:14 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leavitt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,319
N/A
N/A
$3,069
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America First

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,918
N/A
N/A
$3,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Inflation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,819
N/A
N/A
$1,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,744
N/A
N/A
$2,416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Border

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,640
N/A
N/A
$1,320
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Election / Midterm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,619
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,605
N/A
N/A
$1,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,468
N/A
N/A
$1,165
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Economy / Economic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
$1,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,367
N/A
N/A
$1,271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,255
N/A
N/A
$990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,535
N/A
N/A
$11,866
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,740
N/A
N/A
$8,427
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,050
N/A
N/A
$4,444
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,392
N/A
N/A
$3,153
Settled
No
kalshi

Hurricane / Isaias

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,721
N/A
N/A
$3,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,641
N/A
N/A
$4,432
Settled
No
kalshi

California

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,207
N/A
N/A
$2,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,794
N/A
N/A
$2,394
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,383
N/A
N/A
$1,801
Settled
No
kalshi

Fake News

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,614
N/A
N/A
$2,112
Settled
No
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,396
N/A
N/A
$1,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Illegal Alien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
$1,532
Settled
No
kalshi

Ballroom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,925
N/A
N/A
$1,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Radical Left

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,799
N/A
N/A
$1,639
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks whether specific phrases will be uttered by the White House Press Secretary during their next official press briefing. The outcome depends on the exact wording used during a live, televised or streamed event, with resolution based on video or official transcripts.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution framework centered on the next official press briefing by the White House Press Secretary, excluding informal gatherings known as gaggles. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcasts, with official internal and external transcripts serving as backup if video consensus cannot be achieved among Kalshi employees. The event must be a press-open, live televised or streamed session where the Press Secretary speaks in an official capacity; private or unofficial remarks, such as hot mic conversations, do not count. Only exact phrase matches—including plural or possessive forms of the specified terms—are considered valid, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and titles containing plural nouns are included in the matching criteria. Previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from unrelated times or places are explicitly excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a unique target phrase (e.g., "Trump," "Democrat," "Illegal Alien"), and if that phrase is uttered during the qualifying briefing, the respective market resolves positively.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the White House press briefing market tracks the current odds for various potential statements from the Press Secretary, along with the price history of those outcomes. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $87,608, and the total volume traded to date, which is $89,951. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on what topics will be addressed and how they will be framed in the next press briefing.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts regarding the White House press briefing. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of many traders, translating their beliefs into quantifiable probabilities. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than experts, or where traders anticipate unexpected developments. It’s a dynamic comparison, as both market prices and analyst opinions evolve over time.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements or topics, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity are influenced by the level of interest and available information surrounding the upcoming press briefing.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript of the White House press briefing, determining whether the predicted statements or topics were mentioned. The outcome will be determined by a clear and objective assessment of the briefing’s content, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major policy announcements, breaking news events, or shifts in the political landscape are likely to influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments related to key administration priorities, or even the tone and messaging leading up to the briefing, could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, statements made by White House officials outside of the formal briefing setting could provide valuable clues and impact trading activity in this market.