TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether specific topics or names will be mentioned during a scheduled news broadcast. The outcome depends on the content of the live broadcast, with certain phrases triggering a positive resolution.
Kalshi
The event resolves positively if, during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast scheduled for October 28, 2026, any host or reporter utters any of the specified phrases, including 'Trump,' 'NFL / Football,' 'Midterm,' 'Iran / Iranian,' 'Jay-Z,' 'King Tide,' 'Israel / Netanyahu,' 'Federal Reserve,' 'World Series,' 'United Farm Workers,' 'AI / Artificial Intelligence,' 'Inflation,' 'Eli Lilly / Retatrutide,' 'Bolsonaro,' 'Justice Department / DOJ,' or 'Russia / Ukraine,' in exact form or recognized variants. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast, supplemented by transcripts if necessary. Promotional content within the broadcast counts toward resolution, while advertisements do not. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, the event remains active. The entire original broadcast content is considered for evaluation.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether specific statements will be made during ABC World News Tonight. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic forecast. Currently, the total volume for this market is $89,785, indicating the level of interest and trading activity surrounding potential news coverage.
This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by a review of the ABC World News Tonight broadcast on the specified date. The resolution will focus on whether the statements outlined in the market contracts were actually made by any host or reporter during the program. The market will settle based on a clear and objective assessment of the broadcast content, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Breaking news stories, particularly those related to major political events, international conflicts, or significant economic developments, are likely to influence trading activity. Unexpected statements from prominent political figures or government officials could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, changes in the media narrative or the emergence of new controversies could drive volume and price fluctuations in this market. Any event that increases the likelihood of specific topics being covered on ABC World News Tonight has the potential to impact the odds.
