TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The debate will focus on key policy areas and political themes important to Georgia voters. Participants will address topics that reflect current national and state concerns, with opportunities for candidates to highlight their positions and respond to questions from moderators and the audience.
Kalshi
The event will be evaluated based on whether specific predefined terms are mentioned by any participating candidate during the live broadcast of the Atlanta Press Club debate for the Georgia U.S. Senate, scheduled for October 13, 2026. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live broadcast or stream. If video consensus cannot be reached, official internal and external transcripts will be used. Markets resolve to Yes if the exact term, its plural, or possessive form is spoken by a candidate in an official capacity. Grammatical variations, inaudible private conversations, and content from separate events do not count. If the debate is definitively canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day with rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the Georgia Senate debate. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market aggregates the collective judgment of many traders, resulting in a quantitative probability assessment for each potential topic being mentioned. Discrepancies between the market and analyst predictions can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, and this market provides a valuable data point alongside expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, providing insight into the supply and demand for each potential mention during the debate. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time forecasting based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on transcripts and recordings of the Georgia Senate debate, determining whether specific candidates made the mentions outlined in the market's outcomes. The resolution process focuses on verifying the factual occurrence of the debated topics, not on subjective interpretations of the debate's overall success or impact. The outcome will be determined by whether a candidate clearly stated the topic during the debate.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any pre-debate statements made by the candidates, particularly those hinting at their intended focus, would likely impact trading activity. Major news events related to the topics covered in the debate, such as economic reports or policy announcements, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected developments in the candidates' campaigns or changes to the debate format could also influence the market. Finally, increased media coverage or public attention focused on specific issues could drive volume and price fluctuations in this market.
