TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on October 21, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on October 21, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Currently, prediction market participants are weighing in on what Tesla might discuss during their next earnings call. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically based on financial modeling and company reports. This market allows for a more dynamic assessment, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. For example, if analysts widely expect a discussion of AI advancements, but traders believe the focus will be on production numbers, the odds in this market will reflect that divergence. The collective wisdom of the crowd can sometimes offer a different perspective than traditional expert opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript of the Tesla earnings call to determine whether the statements outlined in the market’s possible outcomes were actually made. The outcome will be determined by the presence or absence of specific keywords or phrases during the call, as defined by the market’s parameters. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any unexpected news regarding Tesla’s production numbers, new product announcements, or major developments in areas like autonomous driving or energy storage could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, statements made by Elon Musk or other Tesla executives outside of the earnings call, or broader economic trends affecting the automotive industry, could influence the odds. A major announcement from a competitor, or even a significant shift in investor confidence, could also move this market considerably.