TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will Sprouts say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Sprouts say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$29,152

E-commerce

 - Kalshi

E-commerce - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 10:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

E-commerce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,440
N/A
N/A
$7,098
1w 1d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Personalization

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,255
N/A
N/A
$4,365
1w 1d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,330
N/A
N/A
$2,050
1w 1d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Holiday

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,607
N/A
N/A
$1,291
1w 1d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Self-distribution (3+ times)

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
$1,297
1w 1d 15h
Yes
kalshi

Delivery

0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,791
N/A
N/A
$2,138
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Succession

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,218
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Revenue

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
$980
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Seed Oil

0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$913
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Instacart

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$947
N/A
N/A
$747
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Coffee (2+ times)

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$486
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Pasturebird / Pasture Bird

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$688
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Buddy Brew

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$531
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Inflation

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$320
1w 1d 15h
No
kalshi

Wellness Bowl (2+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
$291
1w 1d 15h
No
Total markets: 15

Description

During corporate earnings calls, company executives discuss financial performance and strategic initiatives. Participants often address topics relevant to current business challenges and opportunities, responding to questions from analysts and investors about future plans and market conditions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specified phrase is uttered by any Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. representative during the next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Resolution uses video of the call, with transcripts from news publications as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Payout criteria require the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form; grammatical or tense variations do not count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Sprouts earnings call market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different statements being made during the call. Currently, the volume is $13,333, and the total volume traded on this market is $29,152. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to what Sprouts management might discuss during their next earnings report. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the market is evolving.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for Sprouts’ earnings call reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional analyst reports, potentially incorporating information not yet captured in formal analyses. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially regarding the likelihood of specific topics being addressed. While analysts might focus on financial metrics, this market can also price in expectations about strategic shifts, competitive pressures, or even management’s tone. This provides a unique signal beyond standard financial modeling.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a specific statement will be made during the Sprouts earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, driving the market price towards a consensus view. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the earnings call.

This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Sprouts earnings call transcript is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the statements predicted in each market outcome were actually made by Sprouts representatives during the call. The market will determine which statements were mentioned, and the outcome will be based on the official transcript. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-earnings news regarding Sprouts, such as changes in guidance, key personnel announcements, or unexpected economic data, could shift expectations. Analyst reports offering strong opinions on potential call topics could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader market sentiment and overall economic conditions could play a role. Finally, even rumors or speculation about the content of the earnings call, if widely circulated, could impact the price of contracts in this market.