TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:12 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Robinhood currently scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Robinhood currently scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges for key metrics, this market allows traders to express probabilities about specific statements. Currently, the market is pricing in a different likelihood of certain topics being addressed than initial analyst expectations. This difference highlights how the market can incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives, potentially offering a more nuanced view of what Robinhood will discuss during their earnings call.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders adjust their positions based on new developments and insights. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd regarding the content of the upcoming Robinhood earnings call.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript of the Robinhood earnings call to determine whether the statements in question were made. The market will settle to 100% for outcomes that occurred and 0% for those that did not. The focus is on the content of the call as officially recorded, providing a clear and objective basis for determining the results of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-earnings announcements from Robinhood regarding key performance indicators or strategic shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or broader market trends influencing the financial sector could also play a role. Furthermore, leaks or rumors about the earnings call content, even if unconfirmed, could cause price fluctuations. Finally, analyst upgrades or downgrades of Robinhood stock could influence the perceived likelihood of certain topics being addressed during the call, driving changes in this market.
