TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
During its upcoming earnings call, PepsiCo will address various strategic and operational topics. Investors and analysts will listen closely to gauge the company's performance, future plans, and responses to market trends. The discussion may touch on product innovations, market expansions, and other key business areas.
Kalshi
The event centers on whether specific exact phrases are uttered by any PepsiCo representative during the company's next earnings call scheduled for October 8, 2026, including the Q+A session. Resolution relies first on video footage of the call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video, transcripts from designated news publications will be used. Payout hinges on the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—being spoken, excluding grammatical/tense variations. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with PepsiCo, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe is most likely to be discussed on the PepsiCo earnings call, and these can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide specific revenue or earnings predictions, this market focuses on the content of the call itself – what topics management will emphasize or address. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate diverse perspectives and can react quickly to new information, potentially offering a different view than consensus analyst expectations. This market provides a unique signal based on collective intelligence.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome, offering a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the PepsiCo earnings call.
This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, following the conclusion of PepsiCo’s next earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, and verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will resolve based on whether key phrases or topics were mentioned by PepsiCo executives during the call, as defined by the market contracts. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the outcome based on publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any pre-earnings news regarding PepsiCo's performance, such as preliminary sales data or announcements about new products, could shift trader sentiment. Analyst reports and revisions to earnings estimates could also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or industry trends affecting the beverage and snack food sector might influence expectations. Finally, any leaks or rumors concerning the content of the upcoming earnings call could cause substantial movement in this market before Mar 31, 2027.
