TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Mike Johnson will mention specific topics during a scheduled television interview. The outcome depends on his verbal references to predefined subjects within the live broadcast, with resolution based on video or transcript verification.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether Mike Johnson utters any of the specified phrases during The Ingraham Angle scheduled for October 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., political terms, policy topics). If Johnson says the exact phrase—or any plural/possessive form—during the live broadcast in an official capacity, that market resolves to Yes. Verification uses the live video broadcast; if inconclusive, official transcripts are consulted. Grammatical variations, unaired content, and off-mic remarks do not count. If the episode is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, nullifying others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets are evaluated independently unless cancellation occurs.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts regarding what Mike Johnson will discuss during The Ingraham Angle. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market aggregates the collective judgment of many individuals, expressed through real-money wagers. This can sometimes lead to differing probabilities, as the market reacts quickly to new information and shifts in sentiment. It’s important to note that analyst predictions are often based on pre-interview assessments, while this market will continue to evolve until the event occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of specific statements being made by Mike Johnson. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, offering a dynamic and transparent view of market sentiment. This allows traders to express their beliefs and profit from correctly anticipating the interview’s content.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the content of the interview is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of a transcript or reliable recording of Mike Johnson’s statements during his appearance on The Ingraham Angle. The market will determine which statements were actually made, and the outcome will be based on that verified information. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final results.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-interview statements made by Mike Johnson or his team, or by the host Laura Ingraham, could shift expectations. Breaking news events related to topics he’s likely to address, such as current political debates or legislative priorities, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any public polling data or analyst reports offering insights into his likely talking points could impact the market. Increased media coverage or social media discussion surrounding the interview could also drive volume and price changes in this market.
