TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:23 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks specific phrases that Mike Johnson might mention during a scheduled Fox News appearance. It focuses on political and economic topics that are likely to be discussed during the broadcast, with resolution based on verbal mentions during the live show.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether Mike Johnson utters any of the specified phrases during the live broadcast of Fox News: Fox & Friends on October 29, 2026. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the broadcast or, if necessary, official transcripts. Each market corresponds to a different phrase or condition; if Johnson says the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity during the show, that market resolves to Yes. Markets will resolve to No if the phrase isn’t mentioned. If the event is canceled or fails to meet payout criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Private conversations, archival footage, and unaired content do not count toward resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market will reflect a broader range of possibilities than a typical analyst report, which might focus on a narrower set of likely outcomes. While analysts provide reasoned arguments based on their understanding of the political landscape, this market aggregates the views of many individuals, potentially capturing subtle signals or overlooked factors. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with established experts regarding the Mike Johnson Fox News interview.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic representation of expectations about the Mike Johnson Fox News interview. The current prices are driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from accurately predicting what Speaker Johnson will say.
This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Speaker Johnson’s statements during his interview on Fox News’ Fox & Friends. The market will determine which statements were actually made, and the outcome will be based on that verified record. The resolution process focuses on factual confirmation of what was said, not on interpretations or opinions about the statements.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-interview statements made by Mike Johnson or his staff, leaks about the planned discussion topics, or breaking news related to the issues he is likely to address could all influence trading activity. Shifts in the broader political landscape, such as major legislative developments or unexpected political controversies, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, any commentary from prominent figures within the Republican party regarding the interview or Speaker Johnson’s messaging could move this market.
