TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?
opinion
polymarket

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$11,925
Volume 24h:
$3,880
398%
Liquidity:
$8,879
76%
Open interest:
$6,408N/A

↓ $502.50

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:48m

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of November 2 2026?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $502.50

Trade
82%
48%
Yes 87¢No 24¢
11¢
$1,517
$1,228
79%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↓ 502.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
81.5%
Yes 87¢No 24¢
Avg: 11¢Max: 11¢
polymarket

↓ $495

Trade
59%
36%
Yes 61¢No 44¢
5¢
$1,283
$1,886
14%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↓ 495

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
58.5%
Yes 61¢No 44¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

↓ $487.50

Trade
38%
Yes 42¢No 66¢
8¢
$1,154
$1,487
46%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↓ 487.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
38%
Yes 42¢No 66¢
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

↑ $532.50

Trade
21%
38%
Yes 33¢No 92¢
25¢
$141
$1,152
45%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 532.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20.5%
Yes 33¢No 92¢
Avg: 25¢Max: 25¢
polymarket

↓ $480

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$1,286
$2,043
63%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↓ 480

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

↑ $540

Trade
11%
26%
Yes 13¢No 92¢
5¢
$778
$1,048
12%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 540

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.5%
Yes 13¢No 92¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

↑ $555

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 14.8¢No 98.6¢
13.4¢
$772
$648
18%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 555

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
8.1%
Yes 14.8¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 13.4¢Max: 13.4¢
polymarket

↑ $547.50

Trade
7%
9%
Yes 11.6¢No 96.9¢
8.5¢
$247
$478
20%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 547.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.4%
Yes 11.6¢No 96.9¢
Avg: 8.5¢Max: 8.5¢
polymarket

↑ $562.50

Trade
4%
Yes 7.9¢No 99.6¢
7.5¢
$596
$300
32%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 562.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.2%
Yes 7.9¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 7.5¢Max: 7.5¢
polymarket

↑ $570

Trade
1%
4%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.9¢
2.6¢
$128
$147
5,761%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↑ 570

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.4%
Yes 2.7¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 2.6¢
polymarket

↓ $472.50

Trade
15%
12%
Yes 23.1¢No 92.3¢
15.4¢
$539
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
opinion

↓ 472.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 23.1¢No 92.3¢
Avg: 15.4¢Max: 15.4¢
polymarket

↑ $525

Trade
35%
Yes 49¢No 79¢
28¢
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Active
polymarket

↓ $510

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Yes
opinion

↓ 510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 48m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This group forecasts whether Microsoft (MSFT) stock will reach specific high or low price levels during the week of November 2, 2026. Markets are structured around a binary outcome: will the price be hit or not, based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the same source (Pyth) and resolution logic based on 1-minute candle data during regular trading hours, accounting for potential stock splits.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on whether any 1-minute candle during the specified week has a final High or Low price equal to or beyond the target price.
  • Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) are considered.
  • Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
  • Stock splits or similar corporate actions will be accounted for using split-adjusted prices from Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Pyth Data Outage: If Pyth data is unavailable, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange will be used.
  • Trading Halt: If trading is halted during the week, resolution will still be based on the 1-minute candle data available up to the halt, or the official daily high/low if Pyth is unavailable.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading hours on Friday, November 6, 2026, after verifying the 1-minute candle data from Pyth for the week of November 2, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Microsoft (MSFT) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this market dashboard tracks predictions on whether Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) will reach a specific price point by the week of November 2, 2026. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates strong belief in a positive outcome. The total volume traded across both venues is $11,846, with $3,724 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This reflects significant interest in forecasting the future performance of the Microsoft stock price, and the short_topic provides a central location to monitor these predictions. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically publish price targets with justifications based on financial modeling, whereas this market reflects the aggregated wisdom of a diverse group of traders who are putting their capital at risk. This can lead to discrepancies, as market participants may incorporate information not readily available to analysts or weigh factors differently. While analyst consensus currently estimates a range for MSFT, this market provides a real-time, financially incentivized forecast, potentially offering a more accurate signal of future price movement.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Opinion on this market can arise from several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing valuations. Trading volume also plays a role; a higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence pricing. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders set the odds—may differ between Polymarket and Opinion, contributing to observed price variations. These differences are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock during the specified week. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency. This ensures a clear and objective determination of whether the predicted price level was reached, providing a definitive outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major company announcements from Microsoft, such as earnings reports, new product launches, or strategic partnerships, are key catalysts. Broader economic indicators, including interest rate changes, inflation data, and overall market sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the tech industry landscape could also influence investor confidence and, consequently, the price of MSFT. Any news that alters the perceived growth prospects of Microsoft could lead to substantial movement in this market.