TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.3b
24H VOL:
$108,273,564
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,361,103,189
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,162,049,342
329,754
Markets across
32,804
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,704
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?
↑ $680
all
3 markets
Predict
99.8%
Polymarket
5.1%
Opinion
N/A
consensus
52.5%
spread
5.1-99.8%
(94.7pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 18
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Vol.
$156.0
·
Resolves Sep 1, 2026
Time left: 06d:07h:05m
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in August?
$
Trade on Predict
At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 11% Low liquidity 6 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 5.1¢ buys you 1,961 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $1,961 | Net Profit: $1,861 Multiplier: 19.61x | ROI: 1,861% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 6 days to resolution'%3e%3ccircle%20cx='26'%20cy='26'%20r='26'%20fill='%23000'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23fff'%20d='M27.6629%2037.9855L31.004%2037.6925L32.1989%2051.3689C33.72%2051.027%2035.2073%2050.5486%2036.6425%2049.9395V37.8085H40.7697V47.7178C42.4942%2046.577%2044.0775%2045.236%2045.4865%2043.7226L46.0172%2037.6591L49.5548%2037.9678C51.5707%2034.0725%2052.5697%2029.7306%2052.4591%2025.3456C52.3484%2020.9605%2051.1317%2016.6746%2048.9219%2012.886L48.7903%2014.392L44.6631%2014.0303L45.1937%207.97067C43.8569%206.58147%2042.3706%205.34447%2040.7619%204.28222V14.2406H36.6347V2.06247C34.8743%201.313%2033.0358%200.762345%2031.1533%200.420753L32.3463%2014.0637L29.0052%2014.3566L27.7513%200.0314647C27.3308%200.0118035%2026.9062%200%2026.4817%200C24.8262%204.44017e-06%2023.1745%200.157349%2021.5487%200.469906L23.9072%2013.8985L21.364%2014.3468L19.0253%201.0853C16.8454%201.73668%2014.7611%202.67345%2012.8266%203.87129L15.4601%2013.7019L13.4634%2014.2387L11.0146%205.09226C9.12509%206.49278%207.43337%208.1422%205.98527%209.99577L7.26077%2013.5014L5.80446%2014.0322L4.88665%2011.5097C3.41845%2013.6953%202.29182%2016.092%201.54558%2018.6172L1.95829%2018.4678L7.2647%2033.0387L5.80839%2033.5696L1.06407%2020.5303C-0.0225105%2025.6016%200.430464%2030.8821%202.36486%2035.6941C4.29926%2040.5061%207.62683%2044.6301%2011.9206%2047.5369L9.45605%2038.3355L11.4528%2037.7987L14.4677%2049.0567C16.5333%2050.1354%2018.7355%2050.9291%2021.0142%2051.4161L18.6892%2038.1605L21.2343%2037.7122L23.7283%2051.8683C24.6462%2051.9654%2025.5686%2052.014%2026.4916%2052.0138C27.2954%2052.0138%2028.0933%2051.9764%2028.8795%2051.9037L27.6629%2037.9855Z'%20/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20d='M46.0368%2018.1276L50.1542%2018.4875L48.804%2033.9372L44.6768%2033.5774L46.0368%2018.1276ZM36.6484%2018.279H40.7756V33.7858H36.6484V18.279ZM31.0099%2018.1611L32.3601%2033.6109L29.019%2033.9038L27.6668%2018.454L31.0099%2018.1611ZM13.481%2033.7898L9.4698%2018.8099L11.4666%2018.2751L15.4778%2033.2452L13.481%2033.7898ZM21.3817%2033.892L18.6892%2018.6211L21.2343%2018.1729L23.9248%2033.4418L21.3817%2033.892Z'%20/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}
Trade on Opinion
At 0¢ buys you 0 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $0 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: Infinityx | ROI: 0% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
Description
This event group tracks whether Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) stock will reach specific high or low price thresholds during August 2026. Markets are defined by price thresholds and whether the price is measured as a high or low during regular trading hours.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical logic: 1-minute candle data from Pyth during regular trading hours determines resolution, with fallbacks to exchange daily highs/lows and split-adjusted targets.Primary resolution logic: Pyth 1-minute candle data for META (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution depends on whether any 1-minute candle's high (for upward thresholds) or low (for downward thresholds) reaches or exceeds the listed price during August 2026 regular trading hours
- Prices are evaluated exactly as published by Pyth with no rounding
- Stock splits adjust both the stock price and threshold proportionally
- If Pyth data is unavailable, official exchange daily highs/lows for the relevant trading days will be used
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Corporate Actions: Any stock split or similar corporate action during August 2026 will adjust both the stock price and threshold proportionally using split-adjusted Pyth data
- Data Unavailability: If Pyth data is unavailable for any reason, official daily high/low prices from the primary exchange will be used to determine threshold attainment
Polymarket
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?
Kalshi
If Justin Bieber has above 18M Global daily views on YouTube at any point during August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in August 2026?
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through collective trader bets, reflecting a decentralized outlook that can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often use detailed financial models and company fundamentals, while prediction markets incorporate broader market sentiment and news flow in real time. Because of this, odds may appear more aggressive or defensive than consensus analyst ratings, especially when new information emerges.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The two venues attract different user bases and have distinct liquidity profiles, which can lead to price gaps. Polymarket currently favors Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in August? at 9.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Justin Bieber have above 18M daily views in August 2026? at 11.0%. Differences in trading volume, user sentiment, and fee structures often create a spread of 2.0 between platforms.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will depend on whether Meta Platforms meets the specified performance threshold during August 2026, as reported by trusted financial and news sources.