TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$105,438,864

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,170,041,743

338,680

Markets across

33,274

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,215

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?
Other
polymarket
kalshi

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?

Total volume:
$18,193
Volume 24h:
$1,381
3,366%
Liquidity:
$3,793
7%
Open interest:
$3,890
0%

$0.50-$0.55

 - Polymarket

$0.50-$0.55 - Polymarket

34%

-5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$546.0

·

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 34¢ buys you 294 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $294 | Net Profit: $194 Multiplier: 2.94x | ROI: 194% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 34 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group tracks two distinct markets: GPU rental prices for RTX 5090 on Polymarket and Carbon Arc Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend for August 2026 on Kalshi. The Polymarket markets focus on price brackets for the Ornn RTX 5090 Index as of September 30, 2026, while the Kalshi markets are based on credit card spend thresholds for Dick's Sporting Goods in August 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamentally different market types with no logical connection - one is a GPU price index, the other is retail credit card spendHero tip: Treat these as completely separate markets. The GPU price markets depend on Ornnai.com's RTX 5090 Index as of September 30, 2026, while the Dick's Sporting Goods markets depend on Carbon Arc's credit card spend data for August 2026. There is no expected correlation between these two distinct economic indicators.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Ornn RTX 5090 Index price brackets from Ornnai.com dashboard as of September 30, 2026. Uses bracket logic where exact midpoint values resolve to the higher bracket. Data considered finalized when the following day's data point is published, with a 7-day fallback window.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on Carbon Arc Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend for August 2026 against multiple threshold levels ($90, $92, $94, $96, $98). Each market has its own independent threshold check.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend in August 2026, each defined by a specific year-over-year growth index value reported by Carbon Arc. All markets resolve based on the first reported value for August 2026, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index measures the percentage change in aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transactions for Dick's Sporting Goods compared to the same month in the prior year, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending, above 100 indicates growth, and below 100 indicates decline. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold (e.g., above 90, above 92, etc.), and resolution occurs when the reported index meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The underlying data source is Carbon Arc's daily updated transaction panel, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with Dick's Sporting Goods or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the RTX 5090 rental price market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time odds and volume across platforms. It tracks how traders on different prediction markets price the likelihood of various rental rates for the RTX 5090 GPU by the end of September. You can see total volume of $16,168 and 24-hour volume of $105, plus cross-platform consensus and any notable divergences. This gives a clear picture of market sentiment and activity around this specific digital asset rental question.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market can show price differences due to varying user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026? at 32.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 92 ? at 15.0%. These discrepancies often arise from differences in volume, user sentiment, and market design across the platforms.

This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. By that date, rental listings from major cloud providers and peer-to-peer marketplaces are examined to determine the final price range. The process relies on widely accessible data, ensuring an objective close for all participants.

Key signals include new GPU hardware releases that change rental demand, shifts in cryptocurrency mining activity affecting GPU utilization rates, and regulatory announcements impacting cloud-computing costs. Any surprise in these areas — for example, an early RTX 5090 Ti launch or a major miner exiting the market — could rapidly move this market as traders adjust their expectations ahead of Sep 30, 2026.