TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:21 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during Mastercard's upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, such as financial strategies, partnerships, or global economic conditions.
Kalshi
The event determines if any of the specified phrases are uttered by Mastercard representatives during their next live earnings call or official broadcast, including any Q+A sessions. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the call; if video consensus among Kalshi employees is unattainable, official transcripts from designated news publications will be used. Payout hinges on the exact utterance of the phrase, or its plural/possessive form, with grammatical or tense variations excluded from eligibility. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with Mastercard, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional analyst estimates, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating surprises that analysts might miss. While analysts provide detailed financial models and industry expertise, the prediction market aggregates the views of many participants, creating a dynamic forecast that can shift rapidly with new information. This allows for a unique comparison of expectations surrounding the Mastercard earnings call.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price reflects the probability of a specific outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating higher perceived probability, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript of Mastercard’s earnings call to determine what was stated. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that accurately reflects the content of the call, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders should monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential catalysts.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-earnings announcements from Mastercard regarding financial performance, strategic shifts, or key industry trends would likely impact trading activity. Broader economic data releases, particularly those related to consumer spending and credit card usage, could also influence sentiment. Additionally, news about competitors or regulatory changes within the financial sector could trigger shifts in the market. Unexpected statements from Mastercard executives in the weeks leading up to the call could also play a role.
