TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice). Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls attempt to capture stated opinions, this market represents what people are willing to *bet* will happen. This can be a significant distinction, especially when dealing with sensitive or politically charged topics. For example, if polls suggest a certain statement is unlikely, but there's substantial volume on Polymarket predicting it *will* be said, it indicates a strong belief among traders that pollsters may be missing something. This market provides a unique signal based on financial commitment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific statement will be made, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Zohran Mamdani’s next live announcement. The market will determine whether any of the listed statements were actually uttered during that announcement. Traders should monitor news sources and official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will influence the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any public statements made by Zohran Mamdani *before* his next live announcement could provide clues about his likely messaging, shifting trader sentiment. Major political events or breaking news stories could also influence his focus and the topics he addresses. Additionally, social media activity and commentary surrounding his previous statements might create momentum for certain outcomes within this market. Increased media coverage or speculation about his upcoming announcement could also drive volume and price fluctuations.
