TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of JPMorgan currently scheduled to take place on October 13, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of JPMorgan currently scheduled to take place on October 13, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of potential outcomes than traditional analyst reports, which may focus on a narrower set of scenarios. While analysts provide detailed reports and financial models, this market aggregates the views of many participants, potentially identifying overlooked risks or opportunities. The current pricing in this market represents a distillation of diverse perspectives on the upcoming JPMorgan earnings call.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes regarding the JPMorgan earnings call. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders enter the market with their predictions, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential events.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the content of the JPMorgan earnings call is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript or a reliable recording of the call, focusing on whether specific topics or statements were made by JPMorgan executives. The details of what was said will be assessed against the market’s possible outcomes to determine the winning prediction. Traders should monitor news sources following the earnings call for resolution updates.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any pre-earnings announcements from JPMorgan, including regulatory filings or statements from company executives, could shift trader sentiment. Broader economic news, particularly related to the financial sector or interest rates, might also influence predictions. Unexpected geopolitical events or major shifts in market conditions could also play a role. Finally, analyst reports released before the earnings call could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.
