TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:37 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during JPMorgan Chase's upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, reflecting potential areas of focus or concern for the company.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether any of the specified keywords or their plural/possessive forms are uttered by any JPMorgan Chase & Co. representative during the next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the call; if video consensus among Kalshi employees is unattainable, transcripts from designated news publications will be used. Grammatical or tense variations of the keywords do not qualify for payout. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with JPMorgan Chase & Co., and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of what JPMorgan executives will discuss on their earnings call, potentially differing from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide specific revenue or profit predictions, this market focuses on the *content* of the call – whether certain topics will be addressed. It’s possible that this market anticipates areas of concern or opportunity that haven’t yet been fully incorporated into standard financial models. Comparing this market’s probabilities to pre-call analyst reports can offer a unique perspective on market expectations and potential surprises.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a specific statement will be made during the JPMorgan earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, constantly refining the market’s assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse perspectives and arrive at a collective prediction.
This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, following the conclusion of the JPMorgan earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether key phrases or topics, as defined in the market contracts, were explicitly mentioned by JPMorgan executives during the call. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination of the outcome based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent result for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Mar 31, 2027. Unexpected news regarding JPMorgan’s financial performance, regulatory scrutiny, or major industry developments could shift trader sentiment. Pre-earnings reports from analysts, leaks of internal information (though unlikely), or even statements from other financial institutions could also impact the odds. Any indication of a change in JPMorgan’s strategic direction or a heightened focus on specific areas is likely to move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving landscape.
