TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks whether Jon Ossoff will mention specific topics during an upcoming television interview. The outcome depends on his verbal references to predefined subjects within the live broadcast, with resolution based on video or transcript analysis.
Kalshi
Multiple outcome markets exist for statements Jon Ossoff may make during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if Ossoff utters the exact specified phrase or its plural/possessive form during the live broadcast in an official capacity. Resolution relies primarily on video review, with transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached. Grammatical variations, off-mic comments, archival footage, and unaired content do not count. If the episode is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, voiding all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets require verification through official broadcast materials only.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of the likelihood of different topics being mentioned by Jon Ossoff. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on individual expertise and pre-defined models. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying unexpected possibilities or weighting certain topics more heavily than analysts might. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating new information as it becomes available, while analyst forecasts may be more static and based on past data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether specific topics will be mentioned. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction among traders. The current probabilities are derived from these prices, and the market reflects the aggregate expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on a review of the full transcript of Jon Ossoff’s interview on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell. The outcome will be determined by whether or not each topic listed in this market was demonstrably mentioned by Jon Ossoff during the interview. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available information to determine the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any breaking news related to Jon Ossoff, the topics he frequently discusses, or the political landscape could shift trader sentiment. Pre-interview statements or previews of the interview’s focus from either Ossoff or Lawrence O'Donnell would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected events occurring before the interview that become relevant to potential discussion points could also cause price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of specific topics being mentioned could move this market.
