TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event involves monitoring a scheduled news broadcast for specific phrases that Jeff Bezos might mention. Participants are interested in predicting whether certain topics will be discussed during the live segment. The outcome depends entirely on the content of Bezos's remarks during the broadcast.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Jeff Bezos mentions any of several predefined phrases during a specific Fox News broadcast scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different phrase or category of phrases (e.g., company names, technical terms, geopolitical topics). Resolution relies primarily on reviewing the live broadcast video; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts are used. Markets resolve to Yes if Bezos utters the exact phrase (or an acceptable variant like plural/possessive forms) in an official capacity during the broadcast. Certain exclusions apply: grammatical variations, off-mic comments, archival footage, and unaired content do not count. If the broadcast is canceled or fails to meet resolution conditions, the “Event does not qualify” market wins, nullifying all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts are not yet widely available for this specific event. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or expert opinions. This market reflects what traders believe is likely to happen, based on their own research and insights, and can sometimes offer a more accurate prediction than relying solely on expert commentary. As the interview approaches, it will be interesting to see how this market’s probabilities align with any published analyst expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess what statements Jeff Bezos makes during his scheduled interview on Special Report with Bret Baier. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official broadcast transcript or a reliable recording of the interview, ensuring accuracy and objectivity. The market will settle based on whether each statement was demonstrably made by Jeff Bezos during the broadcast, as verified against credible public sources.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any pre-interview statements or previews of the topics Bret Baier intends to discuss with Jeff Bezos would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected news related to Amazon, Blue Origin, or Jeff Bezos’s personal ventures could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader political or economic developments could affect the context of the interview and, consequently, the market’s assessment of likely statements. Increased media attention or public discussion surrounding the interview could also drive volume and price movements in this market.
