TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The press conference addresses scam prevention, potentially referencing global actors, platforms, or specific scam methodologies. Outcomes hinge on whether Jeanine Pirro utters designated terms during her official remarks.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on whether Jeanine Pirro utters any of the specified terms during her official Scam Center Strike Force press conference scheduled for October 27, 2026. Verification uses live video broadcasts or official transcripts if video consensus cannot be reached. Markets cover various terms including geopolitical references, platforms, financial entities, and scam-related phrases. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet resolution criteria, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, nullifying all others. Postponements announced within one day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional polls or analyst predictions, incorporating information from a diverse group of participants. While analysts may focus on specific political strategies or past statements, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals, potentially identifying overlooked factors. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement about what Jeanine Pirro will say during her press conference.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements from Jeanine Pirro. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that statement being made, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research, analysis, and expectations, and the market price adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various outcomes during the press conference.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of transcripts and recordings of Jeanine Pirro’s press conference to determine whether the statements outlined in the market contracts were actually made. The focus is on accurately identifying the content of her remarks, and the outcome will be determined by what is publicly documented. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any pre-press conference statements or leaks from Jeanine Pirro or her team would likely impact trading activity. Major news events or political developments related to the topics she is expected to address could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, changes in public opinion or analyst forecasts regarding her likely messaging could influence traders’ positions. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding the press conference itself could also cause substantial fluctuations in this market.
