TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:22 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
During a corporate earnings call, executives discuss financial performance and strategic directions. Observers track whether specific terms or phrases are mentioned, reflecting topics of investor interest or market concerns. These mentions can signal focus areas or risks.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether specific predefined terms are mentioned by any Goldman Sachs representative during their next earnings call scheduled for October 13, 2026, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a distinct term or phrase. If the exact term, or its plural/possessive form, is uttered, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Grammatical or tense variations do not count. Resolution relies primarily on video recordings of the call, with transcripts from specified news publications used as a fallback if video consensus cannot be achieved. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Goldman Sachs, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect what traders believe is most likely to be discussed on the Goldman Sachs earnings call, and these beliefs can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. This market allows for a more dynamic assessment of expectations, as the odds shift based on new information and collective insight. While analysts may provide specific predictions, this market represents a broader, real-time view of what participants anticipate being addressed by Goldman Sachs leadership. It’s a way to gauge market sentiment beyond standard financial analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a liquid and efficient market where participants can express their views on the likely content of the Goldman Sachs earnings call.
This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the content of the Goldman Sachs earnings call is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript or audio recording of the call, focusing on whether specific topics or statements were made as defined by the market’s conditions. The final outcome will reflect the consensus view of what was actually discussed during the call, as determined by publicly available information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Goldman Sachs’s financial performance, strategic shifts, or regulatory challenges could shift trader sentiment. Pre-earnings reports from analysts, leaks of internal memos, or even statements from industry experts could also influence the odds. Major economic data releases or unexpected geopolitical events that impact the financial sector are also likely to move this market. Ultimately, any information that alters expectations about what Goldman Sachs will discuss on their earnings call has the potential to change the probabilities reflected in this market.
