TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.1b
24H VOL:
$75,018,867
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,351,258,445
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,129,613,919
318,842
Markets across
31,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,576
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Same Store
- Kalshi
Same Store - Kalshi
95%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Vol.
$286.9
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
$
During a scheduled corporate event, participants will monitor whether specific predefined phrases are uttered by any speaker. The outcome hinges purely on the verbal inclusion of these exact terms within the discourse, reflecting strategic communication priorities or market sentiment.
The event evaluates whether any of several specified phrases are uttered by any Domino's representative, including the call operator, during the next Domino's earnings call scheduled for October 15, 2026, encompassing both the main presentation and the subsequent Q+A session. Resolution is contingent upon the exact utterance of any targeted phrase—whether in singular, plural, or possessive form—by any participant. Video recordings of the earnings call serve as the primary evidence for resolution. Should video analysis fail to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted as secondary evidence. Grammatical or tense variations of the phrases do not count toward satisfaction of the conditions, and only the precise terms listed in the individual market rules are considered valid for resolving outcomes.
Currently, this market shows a top-outcome probability of 94.0%, which may diverge from analyst forecasts depending on recent performance signals. Analysts often weigh factors like same-store sales and margin trends, while traders in this market react to live sentiment and news flow. Comparing both sources can highlight consensus gaps or emerging risks before Dec 31, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding, reflecting the aggregated view of market participants about what Dominos might say during its next earnings call. The current implied probability of 94.0% balances buy and sell orders, with volume of $38,533 supporting price efficiency. This dynamic pricing adjusts rapidly to new earnings previews or macro cues.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Dominos' next earnings call transcript is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact wording used during the call will be matched against market outcomes, closing all positions based on what was actually said. Timing depends on when the company schedules and streams the event.