TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$58,910,711
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,340,574,887
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,102,578,508
307,732
Markets across
29,900
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,250
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Pacifico
- Kalshi
Pacifico - Kalshi
78%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 24
Vol.
$173.0
·
Resolves Mar 31, 2027
$
During a corporate earnings call, company executives discuss financial performance and strategic directions. Specific phrases spoken by representatives can indicate emerging priorities or challenges. Tracking these mentions offers insight into the company's current focus areas and market concerns.
The event resolves based on whether any specified phrase is uttered by any Constellation Brands, Inc. representative during the next earnings call scheduled for October 5, 2026, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term (e.g., Tariff, Inflation, Dividend). Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the call; if video consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees, official transcripts from designated news publications will be used. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must be used—grammatical or tense variations do not count. All markets share these uniform verification procedures, ensuring consistent application across all outcome determinations.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking view. Analysts may issue detailed guidance based on historical performance and projections, while traders in this market price in real-time expectations about specific language, surprises, or risks during the earnings call. The gap between 79.0% and analyst consensus can signal market skepticism or optimism about Constellation Brands' guidance, tone, or strategic comments.
This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once Constellation Brands' next earnings call has concluded and the transcript or recording is publicly available for verification. The specific outcome is determined by checking whether the company’s statements match the predefined mention criteria during that call, as reported by credible public sources.
Key signals include pre-earnings analyst days, media reports about Constellation Brands’ strategy or performance, and any unscheduled updates or rumors before the call. Earnings previews, investor day announcements, or industry news that shifts expectations about the company’s tone or guidance can also move this market. Traders will watch for any hint about future outlook, risk factors, or strategic shifts that might alter likely mentions during the call.