TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks specific phrases that Bernie Sanders might use during a political rally, focusing on topics relevant to his policy positions and public discourse. The outcome depends on whether he mentions certain keywords or names during his speech, reflecting themes he commonly addresses in his campaigns.
Kalshi
If Bernie Sanders says Billionaire (5+ times) as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Elon / Musk as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Working Class as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Trump (5+ times) as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Tax Break as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Iran / Iranian as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Corrupt / Corruption as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Midterm as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Israel / Netanyahu as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Robot / Robotic / Robotics as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Zohran / Mamdani as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Housing / Rent as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Social Security as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Abbott as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Climate as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Immigrant / Immigration as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Zillion / Zillionaire as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Socialist / Socialism as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Data Center as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Bernie as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Student Loan / Student Debt as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says China / Chinese as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Trillionaire as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says ChatGPT / OpenAI as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Houston originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting specific speech content is not a common practice for political analysts. However, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of different statements. If analysts were to offer probabilities on these specific statements, a comparison could reveal whether the market is more or less optimistic, or focused on different aspects of the rally, than conventional political commentary. The market provides a unique, real-time assessment of potential speech content.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate how strongly traders feel about each outcome, offering a dynamic assessment of the potential content of Senator Sanders’ speech.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Senator Sanders’ remarks during the Houston rally. The outcome will be determined by whether each statement included in the market was demonstrably uttered by Senator Sanders during the event. The market will settle based on the content of the speech as it is publicly documented, providing a clear and objective resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any official statements released by Senator Sanders’ campaign regarding the themes or specific points he intends to address in Houston would be a major catalyst. Unexpected news events occurring before the rally, particularly those related to the issues Senator Sanders typically focuses on, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, media coverage and analyst commentary leading up to the event could influence perceptions of the likely speech content, driving trading activity and altering the probabilities reflected in this market.
