TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Bernie Sanders mentions specific topics during a scheduled rally. The rally serves as a platform for political engagement, and the focus is on identifying key themes or issues he addresses in his speech.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Bernie Sanders mentions any of 20 specified topics or phrases during his Get Out the Vote rally in Duluth on October 24, 2026. Each topic has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if Sanders uses the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the rally. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcasts or streams of the event; if video consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Markets resolve to No if the phrase isn’t mentioned. A separate market resolves to Yes if the event is canceled, postponed beyond qualifying parameters, or otherwise fails to meet resolution conditions, automatically closing all other markets as No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds represent a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts regarding the content of Senator Sanders’ speech. While polls and expert opinions attempt to gauge likely themes, this market reflects what individuals are willing to put capital behind. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the “wisdom of the crowd” diverges from conventional thinking. It’s important to note that analyst predictions are often qualitative, whereas this market provides a quantifiable, continuously updated probability assessment of specific statements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential outcome – in this case, whether Senator Sanders will mention specific topics during his rally. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth, indicated by bid and ask sizes, also provides insight into trader confidence.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, a review of transcripts and reliable news coverage of Senator Sanders’ Duluth rally will determine whether each statement included in this market was actually made. The resolution will be based on the complete and accurate record of his speech, ensuring a fair and objective assessment of the event’s content. The outcome is not dependent on subjective interpretation, but on factual verification.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any official statements released by Senator Sanders’ campaign regarding the rally’s focus, or previews of his planned remarks, would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected news events related to the topics he’s likely to address – such as economic data releases or political developments – could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, changes in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or social media trends, could affect traders’ perceptions of the probability of different statements being made, thereby moving this market.
