TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:50 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Bernie Sanders will mention “Climate” during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to Sanders mentioning “Climate” and a 100.0% probability he will not. The market resolves based on whether Sanders utters the phrase “Climate” during the rally, as verified by live broadcasts or official recordings, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the rally itself, scheduled for October 5, 2026, to see if Sanders includes “Climate” in his remarks, as that will directly determine the outcome of this market.
Kalshi
If Bernie Sanders says Billionaire (5+ times) as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Working Class as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Elon / Musk as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Tax Break as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Corrupt / Corruption as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Climate as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Social Security as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Robot / Robotic / Robotics as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Trump (5+ times) as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Data Center as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Israel / Netanyahu as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Zillion / Zillionaire as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Immigrant / Immigration as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Socialist / Socialism as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says ChatGPT / OpenAI as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Bernie as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Trillionaire as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Nuclear as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bernie Sanders says Epstein as part of Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts haven't yet materialized for specific statements within the rally speech. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or expert opinions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, who are incentivized to accurately predict the future. As the rally nears, it will be interesting to see if the probabilities implied by this market align with, or diverge from, the expectations of political analysts and commentators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential statements from Senator Sanders. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that statement being made, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with traders aiming to profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on a transcript or reliable recording of Senator Sanders’ remarks at the Ballots Over Billionaires rally in Los Angeles. The market will determine which statements were actually made during the speech. The outcome will be determined by whether each statement was demonstrably included in the speech, as verified against credible public sources. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any pre-rally statements made by Senator Sanders or his campaign team regarding the themes he intends to address could significantly shift probabilities. Major political developments or news events occurring before the rally could also alter expectations. Furthermore, the release of polling data related to key issues that Senator Sanders is likely to discuss could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected endorsements or criticisms could also move this market. Ultimately, any information that provides insight into the content of the speech has the potential to influence trading.
