TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether Bernie Sanders will mention specific topics during a televised interview. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain phrases being spoken, with outcomes determined by the actual broadcast content.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple markets, each centered on whether Bernie Sanders will utter specific phrases during the Face the Nation interview scheduled for November 1, 2026. Resolution relies on reviewing the live broadcast or official transcripts to confirm if the exact phrases—or their plural/possessive forms—are spoken by Sanders in an official capacity. Grammatical variations, unaired content, and off-mic remarks do not count. If the interview is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves as Yes, nullifying all others. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Consensus on phrase usage is reached through video review, with transcripts used as a backup if needed.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying probabilities that differ from those suggested by political analysts or polling data. While analysts rely on qualitative assessments and limited data, this market aggregates the views of many individuals, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast of what Senator Sanders will discuss. It’s a fascinating way to see if the market anticipates different themes than traditional political commentary.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of its corresponding contract, and vice versa. This creates a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript of Senator Sanders’ remarks during his appearance on Face the Nation. The outcome will be determined by whether each statement listed in the market was demonstrably made by Senator Sanders during the broadcast. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome(s) that occurred, and 0 for those that did not.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any public statements made by Senator Sanders or his campaign team regarding potential topics for Face the Nation would likely influence trading activity. News coverage focusing on issues he’s likely to address could also shift probabilities. Unexpected political developments or breaking news events could also alter the market, as traders adjust their expectations about the focus of the interview. Finally, any changes to the scheduled format or guest list for Face the Nation could impact this market.
