TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Science and Technology
What will be the top AI model this week?
kalshi

What will be the top AI model this week?

Volume:
$355,553

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,556
$70,797
N/A
N/A
$51,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,760
$185,315
N/A
N/A
$74,046
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,554
$42,905
N/A
N/A
$30,208
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.1-high

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$11,760
$21,902
N/A
N/A
$21,902
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.1-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$11,990
$15,244
N/A
N/A
$15,244
Settled
No
kalshi

ernie-5.0-0110

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$12,855
$9,234
N/A
N/A
$9,234
Settled
No
kalshi

glm-4.6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$17,665
$4,583
N/A
N/A
$4,583
Settled
No
kalshi

mistral-large-3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$16,265
$3,708
N/A
N/A
$3,708
Settled
No
kalshi

qwen3-max-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$17,672
$1,865
N/A
N/A
$1,865
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

Multiple artificial intelligence models will be evaluated and ranked, with the top-ranked model identified as of February 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.