TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:05 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to polling averages for what will be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast reveals interesting insights. While polls capture stated opinions, this market reflects what people are *willing to put their money on*. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls, as they incentivize truthful forecasting and aggregate information from a diverse set of participants. However, it's important to remember that this market is focused on a specific, narrow event—the content of a single podcast episode—and may not align with broader public sentiment on related political topics.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the podcast episode is released and the content is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of the episode transcript or audio recording to determine whether the statements in question were actually uttered by the podcast hosts or guests. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome(s) that occurred and 0% for those that did not, based on this verification process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news or announcements related to the podcast hosts, potential guests, or topics they are likely to discuss could influence trading activity. For example, if a guest known for frequently mentioning a specific country is announced, the odds of related terms being said would likely increase. Social media activity from the podcast team or guests could also provide clues and impact the market. Unexpected political developments or breaking news events relevant to the podcast's focus could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market.
