TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
↓ $332
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Opinion
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:21h:25m
$
This group of markets asks whether Apple's (AAPL) stock price will reach specific high or low values during the week of November 2, 2026. The markets are based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth, with resolution dependent on whether the price is hit during regular trading hours.
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of November 2 2026?
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Apple (AAPL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.
Prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically base their predictions on financial modeling and company reports, while this market aggregates diverse opinions from individuals incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access. Currently, the implied probability from this market is influenced by factors like macroeconomic conditions and Apple’s product pipeline, potentially diverging from consensus analyst ratings or price targets. Monitoring both sources provides a more holistic view of potential stock performance.
Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and perceived information advantages. Polymarket might attract a different class of trader than Opinion, leading to differing risk appetites and interpretations of available data. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence price discovery. While both platforms address the same question about the Apple stock price, these factors can create temporary discrepancies in the odds offered, reflecting the unique dynamics of each venue.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Apple (AAPL) stock price reaches the predetermined level during the specified week. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. The outcome of this market will be determined by the publicly available closing price of Apple stock, ensuring transparency and objectivity in the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Apple regarding new products, earnings reports, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the technology sector, could also impact investor sentiment. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant changes in consumer spending habits could also move the market. Furthermore, any news related to Apple’s regulatory challenges or competitive landscape could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.