TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:34 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Andy Burnham will mention specific topics during his participation in the next UK Prime Minister's Questions session after a set date. The resolution depends on his official statements within that specific parliamentary context.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Andy Burnham utters any of several predefined phrases during his participation in the next official UK Prime Minister's Questions session occurring after October 22, 2026, at 01:30 PM. Each market corresponds to a specific phrase or set of phrases (e.g., Budget, Ukraine, NATO, Russia, Tax, Benefit/Welfare, Energy, Iran, EU/European Union, Trump, Brexit, Afford/Affordable/Affordability, Immigrant/Immigration, AI/Artificial Intelligence, NHS/Healthcare, China/Chinese). A market resolves to Yes if Burnham, speaking in an official capacity during the live session, uses the exact phrase or any of its plural/possessive forms. Resolution relies primarily on live broadcast video; if video consensus cannot be reached among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used. Inaudible private conversations, unofficial statements, previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from unrelated times/places do not count. If none of the qualifying phrases are spoken, the market labeled 'Event does not qualify' resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as those forecasts are not specifically focused on the exact phrasing of statements. However, the market reflects a collective assessment of probability based on a wide range of information, potentially incorporating factors that analysts might overlook. If analysts predict Burnham will focus on a particular issue, we might see increased volume on related outcomes in this market. Discrepancies between the market and analyst predictions can highlight differing perspectives on the likelihood of specific events occurring during Prime Minister's Questions.
This market resolves around Nov 18, 2026, following the conclusion of Prime Minister's Questions. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the session, verified against credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome(s) that accurately reflect statements made by Andy Burnham during the session, and 0% for all other outcomes. The precise wording of Burnham’s statements will be the deciding factor, so close attention to the official record is essential for accurate resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any public statements made by Andy Burnham leading up to Prime Minister's Questions, particularly those hinting at his intended line of questioning, could shift the odds. Major political developments or breaking news stories that are likely to be addressed during the session would also be influential. Increased media coverage focusing on specific policy areas or controversies could drive volume towards related outcomes in this market. Finally, any changes in public sentiment, as measured by polls or social media, could also affect trading activity and price movements.
