TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:05 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether Andy Burnham will mention specific topics during the next UK Prime Minister's Questions session after a set date. It focuses on his official statements within the live broadcast, using video or transcripts for verification.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Andy Burnham utters any of several specified terms or phrases during his participation in the next official UK Prime Minister's Questions session after September 10, 2026, at 04:30 PM. Each market corresponds to a distinct term or set of related terms (e.g., "Ukraine," "Trump," "NHS/Healthcare"). The outcome is determined by reviewing the live broadcast video of the session; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts are used. Only exact matches—words, plural forms, or possessives—are counted, with grammatical variations excluded. Statements must be made by Burnham in an official capacity during the live session; private conversations, off-mic remarks, archival footage, or pre-recorded content do not qualify. The resolution relies solely on content included in the official broadcast or its verified transcripts.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence. Often, this market demonstrates an ability to synthesize information from various sources – news reports, political commentary, and expert opinions – more effectively than traditional polls or individual analysts. While polls capture a snapshot of current opinion, this market reflects what participants believe will *actually* happen, factoring in the likelihood of different statements. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates events that analysts may overlook, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contracts are denominated in US dollars, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting what Andy Burnham will say during Prime Minister's Questions, capitalizing on discrepancies between their own beliefs and the market’s consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript of the Prime Minister's Questions session, confirming whether or not the specified statements were made by Andy Burnham. The outcome will be determined by a review of official records and widely accepted news sources, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders should monitor news coverage leading up to the resolution date for potential catalysts that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any public statements made by Andy Burnham regarding his planned approach to Prime Minister's Questions would be a key catalyst. Major political developments or breaking news stories that directly relate to the topics Burnham is likely to address could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polling data, might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding the Prime Minister could also impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations for Burnham’s response.
