TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:46 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Polymarket
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data regarding what Andy Burnham will say. Polls typically focus on broader public opinion, while this market reflects the collective prediction of informed traders specifically focused on the nuances of UK politics and Burnham's likely statements. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets often incorporate more real-time information and expert knowledge than standard polls. However, if polling data emerges that specifically addresses anticipated statements during PMQ, it will be interesting to see how it aligns with the sentiment expressed in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a transcript of Andy Burnham’s statements during the next Prime Minister’s Questions session. The outcome will be determined by whether or not he utters the phrases outlined in the market’s possible outcomes. The platform will verify the transcript against official records to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor news sources and official parliamentary records as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any public statements made by Andy Burnham himself regarding his planned approach to PMQ, or hints about the topics he intends to raise, would likely cause movement. Major political events or breaking news stories in the days leading up to the session could also shift the odds, as traders adjust their predictions based on the changing political landscape. Furthermore, any analysis from political commentators or journalists predicting Burnham's strategy could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected parliamentary business could also affect the statements made.
