TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:08 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Tesla (TSLA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Tesla (TSLA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests an expectation that the Tesla stock price will increase. However, it's important to note that analyst forecasts can vary widely. While some analysts may predict similar growth, others might offer more conservative estimates or even anticipate a decline. This market provides a unique 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, reflecting the collective judgment of traders, which can differ significantly from individual analyst opinions or traditional polling data regarding TSLA’s future performance.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes for Tesla stock. The prices of these contracts reflect the implied probability of each outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price will be reached, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adapts to new information and changing sentiment regarding Tesla’s stock.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock during the week of October 5, 2026, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the verified closing price during that designated timeframe, reflecting the actual market performance of the stock at that point in time.
Numerous factors could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 9, 2026. Major catalysts include Tesla’s quarterly earnings reports, announcements regarding new vehicle models or production capacity, changes in the overall economic climate, and shifts in investor sentiment towards electric vehicle stocks. Unexpected news regarding regulatory changes, battery technology advancements, or competition from other automakers could also cause substantial price movements in this market. Any significant development affecting Tesla’s business or the broader automotive industry has the potential to influence trading activity.