TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:08 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts typically provide a single point estimate or a range, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a probability distribution of potential outcomes. This can lead to divergences, especially when there is significant uncertainty or disagreement about NVIDIA’s future prospects. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information that isn’t immediately reflected in analyst reports, such as subtle shifts in investor sentiment or emerging technological trends. This market offers a unique view compared to standard financial analysis.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different NVIDIA stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price being reached by Oct 9, 2026. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a logarithmic scale to display probabilities, making it easier to visualize the market’s overall sentiment and identify potential opportunities. Traders are constantly updating their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the closing price of NVIDIA stock during the week of October 5, 2026, as reported by a major financial data provider. The contract corresponding to the closest price point to the actual closing price will be considered the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions regarding NVIDIA’s stock performance.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding new products, earnings reports, and technological breakthroughs in areas like artificial intelligence and data centers will all be closely watched. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate changes, inflation data, and overall market sentiment, could also have a substantial impact. Unexpected news related to competitors, regulatory changes affecting the semiconductor industry, or geopolitical events could also cause shifts in the market’s predictions. Any development that alters the perceived growth potential of NVIDIA is likely to influence trading activity.