TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What price will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
opinion

What price will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Volume:
$0

↑ 256

 - Opinion

↑ 256 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 11:04 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

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No
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No
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No
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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No
Total markets: 14

Description

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for NVIDIA (NVDA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock price market tracks the current implied probability of the stock reaching various price points by the week of October 12, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how predictions have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume for this market is $0, indicating overall interest. This allows you to see where other traders are placing their bets and how confidence in different outcomes is evolving.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of NVIDIA’s future stock price, which may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates diverse opinions into a probability distribution. It’s important to remember that analysts’ predictions are based on models and assumptions, while this market reflects real-money wagers, potentially offering a more accurate signal of what traders believe will happen. The question of whether this market outperforms analyst consensus is an ongoing area of research.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different NVIDIA stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price being reached by the specified date. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each potential outcome, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of NVIDIA’s future stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the NVIDIA stock price during the week of October 12, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific price will be determined by the closing price of the stock during that week. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the stock price would reach or exceed the contract's specified price point. This provides a clear and objective measure of the market’s accuracy.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding new products, earnings reports, and changes in leadership are key catalysts. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the semiconductor industry, will also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or technological breakthroughs could also move the market. Positive news regarding NVIDIA’s growth prospects would likely increase demand for contracts predicting higher stock prices, while negative news could have the opposite effect.