TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:08 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Micron’s stock price will land the week of October 5, 2026. These predictions are formed by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically based on financial modeling and company reports. It’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and can react more quickly to new developments than traditional forecasts, potentially offering a more dynamic view of future outcomes for this market.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential Micron stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price is likely, the higher that contract’s price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment surrounding Micron’s future stock performance.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome determined by verifying the closing price of Micron stock during the week of October 5, 2026, against credible public reporting. The specific price range achieved will dictate which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will be determined by the contract’s price at resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the stock price range will receive a payout based on their holdings, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 9, 2026. Major announcements from Micron regarding earnings, product development, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the semiconductor industry, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant changes in competitor performance could also influence trader sentiment and move the market. Any news impacting the overall technology sector or investor confidence in the stock market could also affect the Micron stock price market.