TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:12 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on the future price of Micron. It’s common to see differences between these crowdsourced predictions and those made by financial analysts. While analysts often rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom – and potentially unique information – of a diverse group of traders. Comparing this market’s implied probabilities to traditional analyst price targets can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes for Micron’s stock.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes for Micron. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that specific price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price is likely, the higher the contract’s price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the closing price of Micron stock during the week of October 26, 2026, as reported by a major financial data provider. Traders will look to this verified price to determine which contracts pay out, based on their predictions of where the stock would settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Micron regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in leadership would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the semiconductor industry, could also impact the stock price and, consequently, this market. Unexpected news related to Micron's competitors or disruptions in the global supply chain could also be key catalysts to watch as the resolution date approaches.