TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:13 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on where Micron’s stock price will land in late 2026. These forecasts are often compared to those of financial analysts, though it’s important to note that analysts may use different methodologies and time horizons. While analyst forecasts are typically point estimates, this market aggregates a wide range of opinions, representing a probability distribution of potential outcomes. It’s a way to see not just *what* the expected price is, but also how much uncertainty exists around that expectation.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price points for Micron stock. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the market participants about the probability of that price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds constantly adjust as new information becomes available and traders update their views. The current implied probabilities are shaped by supply and demand for these contracts, offering a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Micron (MU) stock during the week of October 19, 2026, will be used to determine which prediction contracts pay out. The market will reward those who accurately predicted the price range, providing a clear and objective outcome based on publicly available financial data. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Numerous factors could influence the price of Micron stock and, consequently, move this market. Key events include Micron’s quarterly earnings reports, major announcements regarding new technologies or partnerships, and broader economic trends impacting the semiconductor industry. Changes in interest rates, inflation data, and geopolitical events could also play a significant role. Unexpected news regarding competitors, supply chain disruptions, or shifts in demand for memory chips could all cause substantial shifts in the predictions reflected in this market.