TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:07 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a higher probability of Meta’s stock price increasing than decreasing. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which exhibit a more cautious outlook, anticipating moderate growth or even a potential decline. However, it’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on traditional financial modeling and may not fully incorporate the wisdom of the crowd. This market provides a real-time assessment of expectations, reflecting the collective judgment of participants who have skin in the game.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price will be hit, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Meta (META) stock during the week of October 26, 2026, will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted price range aligns with the actual closing price.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Meta regarding new products, user growth, or financial performance would undoubtedly move the market. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the tech sector, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory developments or geopolitical events impacting technology companies are additional catalysts to watch. Furthermore, significant news related to Meta’s competitors could indirectly affect investor sentiment and, consequently, this market.