TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:03 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Meta's stock price will be in October 2026. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they represent a 'wisdom of the crowd' approach, incorporating diverse perspectives and real-time reactions to news and events. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market benefits from the ability to rapidly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. It’s a fascinating comparison to see how the collective intelligence of traders stacks up against expert predictions for Meta.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Meta stock prices. The prices of these contracts determine the implied probability of each price point being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, earnings reports, and other relevant information. Essentially, the price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the future value of Meta stock, creating a real-time assessment of market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Meta (META) stock during the week of October 12, 2026. The specific price will be determined by a widely recognized financial data source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual stock performance during that week. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their predictions.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major catalysts include Meta's quarterly earnings reports, announcements regarding new products or services (especially in the metaverse or AI), changes in regulatory environments affecting technology companies, and broader macroeconomic trends. Unexpected news regarding key personnel, significant shifts in user growth, or major competitive pressures could also cause substantial price movements. Any developments that alter investor sentiment towards Meta’s future prospects are likely to be reflected in the trading activity of this market.