TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:05 AM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Meta (META) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Meta (META), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta (META) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Meta (META) trades governs.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Meta. While many analysts predict continued growth, this market reflects a wider range of potential outcomes, including the possibility of a price decrease. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on specific models and assumptions, while the wisdom of the crowd in this market incorporates a broader spectrum of information and perspectives. This allows for a potentially more nuanced and dynamic prediction of the stock’s future performance.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price levels for Meta in October 2026. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the future stock price. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast that is constantly updated based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Meta (META) stock on a major exchange on the last trading day of October 2026 will determine the result. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the price range. Traders should monitor news and financial data leading up to this date to stay informed about potential catalysts that could affect the stock price.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Meta regarding new products, earnings reports, changes in leadership, or shifts in their metaverse strategy would all likely have a substantial impact. Broader economic factors, such as interest rate changes, inflation data, and overall market sentiment, will also play a role. Regulatory developments or significant competitive pressures within the social media landscape could also influence trader behavior and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.