TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:06 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds represent a collective forecast based on traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they reflect not just expectations of future value, but also risk appetite and the potential for unforeseen events. While analysts may provide a single point estimate, this market aggregates diverse perspectives, potentially offering a more nuanced view of possible outcomes. It's important to remember that both approaches have limitations and can be influenced by biases or incomplete information.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Google stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific price being reached. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Google (GOOGL) stock during the week of October 26, 2026, will be used to determine the winning price point. The market will settle based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out according to their contract positions, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Google regarding new products, earnings reports, and changes in leadership are key catalysts. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes, inflation data, and overall market sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant shifts in the technology sector could also move the market. Any news that alters investor confidence in Google’s future growth prospects is likely to influence trading activity and shift the predicted stock price.