TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:03 PM EST
Opinion
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Google (GOOGL) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Google’s stock will be trading in October 2026. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts provide price targets and ratings, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to weigh a wider range of information and potential catalysts. It's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than traditional analysis, potentially offering a more dynamic view of future outcomes.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction process where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Google stock prices. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price being hit during the week of October 12, 2026. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific price is likely, the higher that contract’s price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Google (GOOGL) stock on the Friday of that week will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the price range that the stock falls within. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and its resolution. Major earnings reports from Google, announcements of new products or services, and broader economic trends are all potential catalysts. Regulatory changes, shifts in the technology landscape, and even unexpected geopolitical events could also impact investor sentiment and, consequently, the price of Google stock. Any news that alters perceptions of Google’s future growth prospects is likely to move this market.